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I’m using them the way Leslie et al seem to, as a contrast to hard work, the internal factors that give different people different payoffs per unit effort.

So a genius is someone who can solve difficult problems with little effort; a dullard is one who can solve them only with great effort or not at all.

I took GRE Quantitative numbers by department from the 2014 edition of the ETS report.

The results looked like this: There is a correlation of r = -0.82 (p = 0.0003) between average GRE Quantitative score and percent women in a discipline.

There’s a paper from 2002, Templer and Tomeo, that tries the same thing and finds r = 0.76, p and Leslie et al’s perceived-innate-ability results.

But these data are surprising – for example, Computer Science had by far the lowest GRE score (and hence projected IQ?

In the smoking study, we expect that people’s perception of smoking only correlates with lung cancer because it correlates with actual smoking which itself correlates with lung cancer.

You would expect to find that perceived smoking correlates with lung cancer less than actual smoking, because the perceived smoking correlation is just the actual smoking correlation plus some noise resulting from misperceptions.

) of any field, which matches neither other sources nor my intuition.

I looked more closely and found their measure combines Verbal, Quantitative, and Writing GREs.

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